What a Difference a Year Makes!

Although unemployment remains high and the media may continue to focus on the negatives of the past couple years, things have turned around dramatically in the stock markets. For example:

S&P 500 (Large U.S. Companies)

Down 38.49% in 2008

Up 23.45% in 2009

EAFE Index (Large International Companies)

Down 45.09% in 2008

Up 27.75% in 2009

MSCI Emerging Markets Index (International Companies from Developing Nations)

Down 54.48% in 2008

Up 74.50% in 2009

The trend is quite similar for many other stock indices in 2008 and 2009 and the positive returns are even more dramatic from the point the markets bottomed on March 9, 2009.

Pessimists might say that although we have seen positive returns in the markets of late, we still aren't back to the 2007 peak and we don't know where we're going from here. Both of these points are valid, but a more positive view would be that we've made great progress in coming back and the markets (which typically forecast 6-9 months forward in the economy) are forecasting significant economic improvements.

A couple conclusions from this short analysis would be that markets are volatile (2008-09 were an extremely dramatic example) and that investing is a long-term proposition with bumps along the road. This recent period once again confirms the need to have a realistic, diversified investment plan and to stay disciplined through the ups and downs.