Risk & Volatility

Anyone who follows the news headlines heard about the dramatic drop in the stock market yesterday. Although it was followed by a significant recovery, there was a point yesterday where the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down almost 1,000 points. What caused this to happen and what does it mean about the risk of investing in the stock market?

There is speculation about the exact cause of yesterday's volatility, but it was most likely caused by a combination of global economic uncertainty, computerized trading programs and human trading actions. All of these factors confirm that investing in equities does carry risk and this risk becomes more apparent when uncertainty exists. Our world economy has become more volatile and uncertain in recent times and the changes in the market show this.

Despite the volatility, developing a well-diversified, long-term investment portfolio is still the way to achieve returns that stay ahead of inflation and to build real wealth over a long period of time. Recent events confirm the need to have a well-thought-out financial plan and appropriate investments which support the risk this financial plan allows. Having a plan like this in place allows the short-term emotion of the markets to be viewed as "noise" and the long-term goals remain the primary concern.

Will America Still be No. 1?

The recent economic times have caused some to question whether America will continue to be the economic superpower it has been in the past. The World Economic Forum recently ranked the United States number two behind Switzerland amongst the world's most competitive economies. While I'm a strong believer in a free-market economy and the uniqueness of America rooted in the ideals of our founding fathers, no one can say how the American economy will compare to other world economies several generations into the future.

As an investor, what should you do to adjust to this potential new reality? It really comes back to one of the basic principles of investing - diversification. Any well-designed investment portfolio should take a world view and include more than just U.S. stocks and bonds. Developed and emerging international markets should also be considered. European and other developed economies, along with emerging markets like China and India, can diversify the risk of a portfolio while potentially increasing the return.

Which countries should be invested in and in what ratio? More emphasis should be put on developed economies because of a longer track record and stronger government regulation and controls. Emerging markets offer enticing potential returns, but they bring increased volatility and the added risk of unstable governments or unethical practices. Limited emerging market investments are appropriate for most investors. The world economic landscape is always changing, but these changes create opportunities to adjust a portfolio to capitalize on the new economic realities.